The Outsourcing Blog: Horses for Sources

Eulogizing on the Eurozone with Principal Euan

Attend any European analyst meeting and there’s one character guaranteed to be propping up the bar. Scratch that, there are normally about 50 analysts propping up the bar. But in the midst of the throng you will undoubtedly find the stolid Euan Davis of Forrester Research.

I recall a conversation with Euan back in '95 when I told him “you should give this analyst lark a try” (If you want to know what he working on in those days, drop me a note…).  Anyhow, the story began from there, with Euan rising through the ranks at IDC’s European operation, making a curious detour to Yankee Group, before finally attaining new heights of stardom and adulation with Forrester.

Euan now boasts the words Principal Analyst in his job title and waxes lyrical about IT services in the Eurozone. Ask anyone in the industry and you’ll discover he’s fast becoming one of the most popular analyst figures on the European services circuit. And, despite the fact he once lost to me at tennis (a shameful occurrence for any man or beast), he still warrants an airing on the Horses…

Phil Fersht (PF): Euan, firstly, what are the main issues you’re hearing from your Euro clients these days? What are the main contrasts between now and before the economic crash last year?

Euan Davis (ED): The issues are many and varied but if I was to distill it down to what I see as the issues that clients are facing today then they fall into three categories: Some are “firefighters” and are looking to reduce costs wherever they can, pushing for discounts and getting economies of scale through aggressive supplier consolidation. Others are “explorers” and are directing energies into investigating a host of emerging options for IT service deliver—and business process outsourcing is one such area. The exciting ones to watch for my money are the “builders.” These firms are sinking the foundations that underpin a profound shift in their operating model architecture, IT/business redesign, and supplier engagement models. These firms are building hybrid operating models driven by a structured sourcing frame works, regulated through a retooled service management structure, and connected to a core set of suppliers. And the recession has speeded up the process of change.

The "new normal" in the outsourcing delivery business

 This truly has been a pivotal quarter for the outsourcing business.  As we've discussed several times here, many services contract decisions have been delayed during the economic crisis while organizations worked out the best course of action to get through the downturn. 

In Q3 we've started to see definitive action, with many service providers meeting, and some even beating, Wall St. expectations.  But while some providers are clearly delivering, others are struggling to compete in this "new normal".

So what is this "new normal"?

Operational service provision is commoditizing and leveling the playing field.  Coming out of the recession, there is a backlog of engagements which are largely labor arbitrage-focused and it's often a question of price balanced with the promise of delivery performance for most clients.  There isn't a lot of secret sauce these days for what many clients are currently demanding, where in the past, incumbent service providers could play the "capability game".  With many of these skills becoming mainstream, the competitive playing field has leveled out.

Sitting on a shrinking business and afraid to change

"Most of our managers are happy sitting on a shrinking business" bemoaned a senior executive the other day.  Sound familiar?

I hate to say this, but too many senior executives I talk to these days adopted this survival mechanism during the economic crisis, and are clearly struggling to change their mind-set now it's clear that armageddon has been averted.  And the main reason seems to be that the last year has exhausted them, preventing fresh, bold decisions to be made.  Hey - it's exhausted everyone. 

Smart business leaders are now trying to re-energize their staff, take that deep-set panic out of the daily job, and find reasons to celebrate, like a not-so-bad-quarter.

I clung to the forlorn hope that a year-long economic crash, a transformative president, and new approaches to business ideology would encourage businesses to start thinking differently.  But, in many cases, I appear to have been naïve .  The result is that many businesses are going to have to force real change upon themselves to escape this malaise. 

From wanting change... to embracing  it

In reality, most businesses are coming out of recession having already cut visible costs to the bone, for example areas where cost can be directly extracted from the business without any form of arbitrage such as travel feezes, headcount reductions from non-critical areas, budget reductions across departments in areas such as marketing or IT, and so on.  The next steps are to explore cost arbitrage through labor (i.e. outsourcing), and ultimately process transformation that should accompany any form of outsourcing.  Simply put, it's nigh-on impossible to dig out further pockets of cost, without re-wiring the guts of business operations to find new efficiencies.  

Global sourcing provides one of those vehicles where businesses

can effect progressive shifts in their business models to approach things differently.  It can provide the change agent to make this happen, but only when our management talent has the energy and determination to look at things differently - and refuse to settle for sitting on that shrinking P&L. 

So where next for the Galloping Hooves?

"You are going to keep doing that blog aren't you?" seems to have been the most frequently-asked question I've had since I changed my day-job.

And a few people have asked whether I can still credibly run this blog, now I work for one of the firms actually tasked with delivering the services we have been talking about for the best part of three years.  Heaven forbid. 

As we have discussed at length, blogs and other social media have been a major game-changer with how we engage with issues, market dynamics - and each other. 

We live in a different world today, where the rules are changing and we are constantly seeking out new and innovative ways to reach our industry.  To sum up the new constant in a nutshell, credibility is in the eye of the beholder. 

So here are the reasons for keeping these hooves galloping:

Efstathiou uncut: all aboard with the sourcing skipper

When I returned to these Western shores 6 years' ago, I was given the the unenviable task of working with the indomitable Andy Efstathiou. 

Now, analysts who have spent 20 years working in commercial banks are not to be messed with - and I quickly learned my lesson with Andy, who (literally) has an encyclopedic knowledge and perspective of everything that has gone wrong with the world.  I recall Andy warning us years' ago that this was all going to go horribly wrong... and did anyone listen?

Andy has since become a good friend over the years, and has always been one of my first ports-of-call when I want to understand anything about sourcing and the banking sector.  He now runs the Banking Sourcing Program for BPO analyst NelsonHall, but his real claim-to-fame is that he finished seventh in the US Olympic trials for sailing in 1988 (pictured).  Not many people knew that...

Anyhow, I caught up with Andy last week to pose a few direct questions on the current state of the banking industry, how sourcing strategies will evolve after the recession, and how banks can navigate these choppy waters (sorry):

Phil Fersht (PF): Andy, firstly, let's not beat around the bush here. What's the climate like in the banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI) sector these days? Do you expect things to continue improving, or are we in a false dawn right now?

Andy Efstathiou (AE): Banks will continue to do well as long as they are on performance enhancing stimulus. However, the banks are aware that some day they will have to stand on their own two feet. In order to do that they need to be able to scale operations in both directions without eating overhead on the downside or investing capital to expand on the upside. Therefore banks have been aggressively working with outsourcers to create engagements built around transaction based pricing.

Consulting the Oracle: Tibor's talktrack (Part II)

  In the second-part of this two-part interview, Oracle's Tibor Beles discusses how service providers can be successful at platform-BPO offerings, how the broader BPO industry can improve, in addition to discussing the shifting dynamics with software licensing models.  Tibor is also a blackbelt in martial arts (not the Six Sigma category), but spends more time hitting tennis balls these days with his teenage daughter. He also loves political thrillers, but he didn't elaborate whether that was through his day-job, or reading Le Carré novels -:)

Phil Fersht (PF): Do you see platform-based BPO as a major threat to the BPO pureplays which are not experienced in broad-based ERP enablement and implementation services?

Tibor Beles (TB):The first question calls for a long answer but I will try to keep it short. An aggregate BPO service provider must be passionately committed to process and IT excellence in its chosen function. Offshoring for labor arbitrage alone has limited benefits.

Forget Platform BPO, it's really about the Business Services Cloud (Part II)

We inspired a lot of offline debate when we discussed the challenges facing BPO providers delivering so-called "Platform BPO" solutions.  Bottom-line, if BPO service providers are competing for commodity services engagements which are underpinned by software platforms that are widely deployed by several other service providers, they face a major challenge of differentiating themselves to win new clients and avoid a price-war for new business.

At the enterprise level, selecting a BPO provider to process transactional business services for a major Oracle or SAP-based engagement is dependent on the providers' global scale, brand and competency.  For these large-scale transactional BPO engagements (i.e. accounts payable, payroll etc), it's largely a commodity market these days.  However, the battle is on to provide industry-specific solutions, such as health insurance processing and revenue-cycle management, banking-specific services (i.e. netting, lock-box services), retail merchandising, legal services, healthcare informatics etc etc.

For example, I had a great conversation last week with Mark Stiffler, CEO of sales compensation provider Synygy. He was faced with two choices for his business:  either to provide an on-demand managed service to his clients, or license his software through BPOs in the channel.  Sales compensation is an area that can be delivered on a set of standard processes, with some unique personalization to the client.  It's also an area where there's a hell of a lot of value an outsourcing provider can add

Stephanie Moore's Law

One of the most prominent industry analysts in sourcing over the last decade-plus has been Stephanie Moore.  Steph started out at Gartner, before spending time at Giga, and most recently Forrester Research, where she built an industry-wide reputation as an outspoken and respected figurehead of the IT services and outsourcing world. 

Earlier this year, Steph made her first venture over to the service provider side, and when she's not busy entertaining her three kids, sailing around the Westport beaches, or regaling stories of her junior golf open triumph (she swears they had color-TV back then...), Steph assumes the role of Chief Marketing Officer for IT services firm, UST Global.  I thought I'd take this oppountunity to grab a few words with Steph to share some of her views on where the industry is headed, and how she's finding life on the vendor-side of the fence...

PF: Stephanie, how has the world of offshoring changed over the last decade?

SM: Phil, it has changed dramatically. In 1999, people were using offshore outsourcing to save money, but also to execute on very low-value tasks. There were also a lot of people scrambling to fix the Y2K problem. Today, it couldn’t

Derail the Healthcare gravy-train: introduce competitive multi-sourcing

Being a relatively recent immigrant to US society, it's fascinating to observe the political games corporations and politicians play to reach their desired outcomes. 

What I find a little absurd is how easy it is to decipher the real political motives behind all the rhetoric; especially those ridiculous commercials sponsored by insurance companies trying to protect their monopolistic positions and keep their gravy-train chugging along.

Working in the sourcing industry forces you to cut quickly through complex issues to find sensible solutions, and healthcare doesn't seem a whole lot different - despite the sheer scale of the issues and requirements.  Trust me,

Forget Platform BPO, it's really about the Business Services Cloud (Part I)

The recession has upped the ante for today's BPO providers: the move to providing business services in a cloud-like model is accelerating, and the real challenge for today's service providers lies in answering the following questions:

1) Do we want to play in the BPO space? 

2) How do we play in this market?  What's our angle?

3) How can we compete?  What's our differentiation?

The challenge today is whether a provider is adding value beyond low-cost processing services.  If you are only really providing an arbitrage solution, someone is going to come along and offer it for even less money, and someone else will eventually come along and provide it for even less.  It's a no-win game, unless you want to become the lowest-cost provider in town and make a razor-thin profit margin.

What's interesting is this coming together of the IT/BPO model.  And it's becoming much more sophisticated then simply providing a platform and some low-cost processing services.  It's about  integrated business services where the provider delivers the hosting, the application skills and the business services needed to help clients achieve specific business outcomes.

IT services providers have made a living differentiating themselves by providing expertise in technical areas that allowed them to charge a premium to their clients.  However, as technical skills became a commodity, some IT services providers are moving up the value-chain by providing expertise that apply technical skills to specific business needs, while others have opted to scrap around for the low-cost "price per developer per hour" commodity business.  Those IT services providers which think they can get away with charging a premium for commodity development services are having a rude awakening in today's post-recessionary marketplace.  Most clients today are insisting on greater transparency with the costs of services. 

This is where BPO gets interesting,

Mixing it with the big boys: A Tea-interval with Tiger

Not too many service providers have had a bigger impact on the world of Business Process Outsourcing in recent years than General Electric’s former offshore captive, Genpact. And much of this rapid growth to a billion dollars of revenue and a global delivery network, can be credited to one individual – the tenacious “Tiger” Tyagarajan (simply known as Tiger to anyone who knows him).  And what an apt name for the wee fellow.

I can recall, just a few short years’ ago, when Tiger was fronting Genpact’s US business and taking on the major incumbent BPO providers such as Accenture, ACS, HP and IBM, with tales of Six Sigma excellence and Virtual Captives; dazzling firms such as Kimberly-Clark,

Wachovia and Cadbury Schweppes in the process. And when he’s not absorbed with cricket statistics

The entire Great Recession of 2008-2009: Blogged for the outsourcing industry

Wouldn't it had been something if there had been some sort of interactive journal during the Great Depression, where we could have truly experienced the emotions of the time, peoples' ideas for change, the stark contrasts between desperation and hope? 

It's been a geniune privelege to have hosted these emotional debates throughout the entire Great Recession of 2008-9.  It's incredible how attitudes have changed over these tough months - I don't know about you, but I feel a little wiser as a result - and the great interaction I have enjoyed and observed with so many of you, has made this all possible.

Here's the whole story of the Great Recession and it's impact on the global sourcing industry (in chronological order):

The future of the sourcing industry: DNA and industry knowledge trump scale

I spent much of last week at InsofysBPO's customer summit in Baltimore.  Infy always does a good job with their events - they bring their customers together and encourage open, unstructured debate, where the good, bad and plain ugly about BPO and ITO are openly discussed.  They know the best way to win business is through baring their DNA to customers and encouraging them to trust and want to work with them.

They also invited some industry personalities to wax on about their vision for the future - and some predicted rampant "consolidation among suppliers".  I say they are wrong - they are clinging to their knowledge of the past and are not re-adjusting their perspective to the present.  I'd be surprised if we ever see

Crash and Learn: is TPI's "quartus horribilis" reflective of the sourcing industry at large?

There were a few alarm-bells ringing in the outsourcing industry with TPI's shaky Q2 results.  As our recent buy-side survey data indicates, in addition to the multitude of service providers and consultants, outsourcing interest and uptake is on the rebound, so what should we read into TPI's 38% drop in revenues from Q2 2008? I spoke to leaders of all the key sourcing advisors to get their candid input on how their firms were faring, and whether TPI’s results are reflective of the sourcing industry in general.

Rival Equaterra, which is currently privately held, reports to us that its Q2 results have increased 10% over 2008, expects Q3 to perform well, and is encouraged by strong IT outsourcing activity, with on-plan BPO advisory business. Another rival, Alsbridge, added: “First half revenues are up 40% on a 1st half ‘08 to 1st half ‘09 comparison. Across the board, we see good demand

Introducing new-age BPO: the standardization/personalization balance

The new wave of BPO deployment has arrived quicker than many of us anticipated. The recession has driven some common-sense into a BPO value-proposition that was previously centered predominantly on some form of labor arbitrage, with many service providers muddling their way through to attempt to run their clients' process for less cost - and make some sort of profit.  Sometimes they pulled it off, other times they failed.  Many are currently in a state of semi-transition, with the success of their BPO engagement still hanging in the balance. 

Now we've clearly arrived at a turning point in BPO development, which we can put into the following three categories:

1) Straight Lift and Shift:  the antiquated form of BPO where client takes "as-is" processes, hands them off to a provider, which subsequently attempts to run with lower staff costs.  In many cases it's a simple "re-badge" of existing personnel, with the provider simply employing smaller numbers of the existing delivery team to make a profit on the deal.  In most modern cases, the provider will supplement onshore staff with offshore.  There is little (or no) enhancement of software applications to standardize workflows and add a modicum of transformation into the engagement.

Likely outcome:  Inefficiencies with processes are magnified considerably, change-orders and procedural changes are cumbersome and expensive, client finds it challenging to reduce onshore headcount, and anticipated cost-reduction is not reached.

2) Lift, Shift and Transform:  Same as Lift and Shift, but the client and service provider work together to re-map existing processes onto a pre-defined new set of processes. 

The next stage of industry development: Co-learning partnerships, not mega-mergers

The industry's next phase of growth is unlikely to be dominated by the mega-mergers of the past (DEC/Compaq, HP/EDS etc.).  It's going to be focused on service providers moving into partnership engagements with clients, where they can develop specific IP and industry process competence.  

I see this trend escalating in the application development arena, as this area is now approaching significant scale and maturity, but also believe this will pave the way for future BPO development, as service providers find new opportunities to layer on business process services that compliment their application development work.  It's really about learning specific industry process, how they can be enabled and optimized by smart applications, and processed by smart people who add value.

This isn't simply lift and shift where the service provider does the same with less - it's where the service provider brings specific expertise to the table that allows the client to scale its business globally.  It allows the client to focus more heavily on its core competencies, which provide the real value for its own growth.  And it allows the service provider to develop specific industry process knowledge of its client's industry that is can replicate across its own knowledge workers.  The maturity of the application outsourcing marketplace is now going down this path, where the leading service providers have the lions' share of the talent - and the scale - to provide the technology development services that allow clients to invest in their core industry services that make up core value proposition.  Why invest their scarce resources in IT development when they can find a third-party to do this for them and invest in areas that will improve the front-end of their business?

One prime example of this is the new partnership between UK-based industrials magnate Invensys and service provider Cognizant.  Invensys wants to focus on on its core competency of product definition and architecture and developing its industrial automation platform, with Cognizant being its technology partner for product development. 

Invensys can focus on where it's best, and Cognizant can make a surge into the manufacturing industry.  Invensys will learn from Cognizant's technology skills and Cognizant from Invensys' manufacturing process and operations prowess.  Jobs are not lost, and existing employees are going to enhance their careers with new industry and technology knowledge.  If this partnership works, both firms will end up creating more jobs to support their expanding business portfolios. 

 You can read more about this partnership over at Think Global.

Who's looking out for the US business these days?

I was having a little joke yesterday, where the premise was: "So what do we do once all the jobs have been offshored?"  My initial solution was:  "That's easy -  we create great low-cost skills here, and we bring them all back".  The other partaker in the mirth added:  "Wrong - we will still be offshoring, as all our business headquarters are moving out too.  In effect, we'll be offshoring jobs to America". 

As we rolled around on the floor in uncontrollable laughter (OK, it wasn't that funny), it did hit home how unattractive the US is becoming for businesses. 

• US corporate taxes are among the highest in the world.

• The cost of living and wages in business centers such as New York, Philadelphia and Chicago is off-the-scale.

• The cost of healthcare is a killer - and, despite the excellent intentions of this new proposed healthcare reform, the tax burden on the US business is going to get even worse.  For the cost of one years' benefits package in the States, you can hire a full-time ABAP programmer in your offshore captive for that entire year, or pay for half of one (for the entire year) with a service provider.

• Other Western countries are far more corporate-friendly.  I was helping a friend with a business plan the other day, and the cost of hiring qualified graduates in London (yes, London) is half that of New York (and getting even cheaper in this market).  Why even consider setting up a global business in the US these days in this virtual environment?

As much as I admire all the efforts of President Obama to drive reform and economic stimulus into the US economy, I just don't see the environment for the US business to thrive and create new jobs being created.  I'd like to see stimulus money being allocated to helping businesses create new knowledge-jobs that are competitive with those on offer from India, Europe, China etc.  The way things currently stand, the US business environment has never been so ripe for outsourcing - not just for accessing lower-cost skills, but also for our businesses themselves.

Is this "2001 all over again" for outsourcing?

As we've predicted, based on our surveys, many tough discussions with buyers and general chit-chat, sourcing evaluation is now picking up, and we can expect to see a wave of deals in Q4 this year and Q1 next year (and beyond). 

First, the sourcing advisors, management consultants and analysts get busy with their clients showing much more urgency, and then we can expect to see some deals happen.  Based on my conversations with the advisory community over the last couple of week we're now in that former category.  I've even had a couple of people come to me with the question "Is this 2001 all over again".  My answer is:  "In some ways yes, but the types of deals and the global delivery execution is markedly different this time". 

Now why is this?

Post 9/11 we saw a major spree of ITO, call center and end-to-end HR BPO wave.  ITO worked, call center is stuttering with offshore value, and HR BPO - in its past form - failed 

The IT infrastructure outsourcing deals were onshore mature contracts with established providers such as IBM, CSC and HP, experienced at driving economies of scale with their delivery models. The application development and maintenance deals back then were among the first to truly leverage offshore

Captive sell-offs: good for innovation, good for employment

I know I've been depressing everyone with calls for change and for our flagging companies to step up and disrupt their business models.  But did I ever say I was here to make you happy?

However, one shimmer of light amidst this gloom is the increase in activity of service providers buying up business' captives or shared service operations (often under the guise of a new "client win"). 

EXL's acquisition of Schenider Logistics' Czech operations is yet another recent example of a service provider making a strategic move to add scale and expertise to its delivery portfolio.  In this case, EXL is cementing its European presence in a unique and attractive sourcing location, enhancing its F&A BPO business and bolstering its multilingual capabilities, in addition to incorporating supply chain and logistics management process expertise - an area of increasing importance in the industry.

So why is this good for industry?

It’s time for disruption, not stagnation

2009 is going to be remembered as the year of cost-containment. Most client discussions are not very sexy – it’s largely about cost, as opposed to innovation or revenue generation. McKinsey recently revealed 70% of its current client engagements are cost-reduction focused, only 30%focused on revenue-generation (the opposite of a year ago).

I strongly believe our businesses, while being diligent about cost-containment, must use this opportunity to make fundamental changes to their business operations in order to emerge more profitably in the future. Simply ripping away cost elements and failing to improve access to global corporate data and processes, is a massive wasted opportunity to be more competitive over the long-term.

I wrote recently about how the lay-off culture that has afflicted both the US and UK in recent years, where many firms treat their labor as a variable cost that can be scaled-up or down at will, depending on the next quarterly forecast. I cannot stress enough the damage this can cause to businesses as the economy recovers. One common theme that has dominated discussions with business leaders recently has been their surprise at the amount of visible cost they have been able to take out of their businesses as they move from a revenue-generation to cost-containment strategy.

It’s not solely the cost of labor that is highly visible – it’s the costs of technology, travel, infrastructure, real-estate etc. that can often be easily driven-down in a desperate business climate. Less visible are costs associated with poorly-integrated business processes and procedures, of dated analytical tools, of ERP systems incapable of supporting global process templates, and so on.

Outsourcing drivers in today's climate: large companies want to globalize, mid-sized companies seek expertise

I wanted to share some recent dynamics from our new survey of outsourcing adoption intentions in mid-2009.

While the onus on firms today is to drive out as much cost as they can from their businesses (close to four-fifths view cost-reduction as the primary driver for outsourcing), other factors are becoming crucial for companies’ planning as they evaluating outsourcing business models, notably globalizing their businesses more effectively, re-engineering business processes, and accessing expertise from service partners.

If there's one thing this recession taught us, it is how integrated global economies and markets are today, how businesses need to adapt to move in and out of diverse regional markets, and how they must make rapid decisions to invest or divest global service / product lines in order to prosper.  Read more over at Think Global...

Being Frank about Global Sourcing: An interview with Cognizant's CEO (Part II)

Since Part I of the Francisco D'Souza interview, I've been assured Frank has improved his golf handicap. Now he'll discuss his views on how ITO service providers can differentiate themselves, the convergence of IT and BPO solutions... and a few other tidbits...

PF: How can ITO providers differentiate themselves in today’s market? Is it by vertical focus, or other elements?

FD: Given the extraordinary pressure that clients are under, I think that the key to differentiation is to focus on how to make clients’ businesses stronger. Rather than focusing on technology, process or methodology, I think providers need to really understand a client’s business drivers and then sell and deliver solutions that further those business objectives. As I said before, clients are facing both cyclical and secular pressures. As a result, depending on the client, their objectives of outsourcing will be very different. Some clients seek to improve efficiency or effectiveness. Others are looking to use outsourcing as a enabler of innovation. Still others are looking at outsourcing as a tool to gain access to the best talent in the world – regardless of where that talent is located. And of course, given the significant secular changes we are seeing, many clients are looking to outsource as a way to enable agility and transformation within the organization.

Being Frank about Global Sourcing: An interview with Cognizant's CEO (Part I)

Observing the rise of the new wave of service providers over the last few years, the one that has scared the living daylights out of all of the incumbents is Cognizant. 

Now a $3bn company with deep footprints in the world'slargest global financial institutions, consumer businesses, manufacturing and healthcare organizations, Cognizant can no longer be considered an upstart.  It's now part of the industry elite; quietly and cleverly aligning its value proposition to the post-recession era.  As CEO Francisco D'Souza points out,  we're in a time of not only cyclical change, but also secular change.

I've had the pleasure of talking with Frank a few times over the last couple of years and have been impressed by his high-energy, thoughtful and common-sensical approach. I was even more surprised when I received emails from an "FDSouza" on the Horses... took a couple of times for me to realize who this guy was.  To cut to the chase, Frank is one of the youngest IT and BPO industry leaders of the modern age, having risen through the management ranks of Cognizant to assume the role of President and CEO at the beginning of 2007 when the company was announcing its landmark Kimberly-Clark engagement.  And when Frank isn't busy hacking his way around the local golf course, or playing with his kids, he managed to find some time to share some of his views of the global sourcing industry with us...

Supply Management BPO - short-term body shopping trumps business transformation

It's easy to get excited with high-growth markets, but supply management BPO's different. 

While the market has grown exponentially, and a 30% increased expenditure last year is eye-opening, the nature of these engagements doesn't give me confidence that this market will sustain its growth trajectory unless customers think beyond short-term labor arbitrage, and service providers introduce significant process and technology enhancements to the early adopters to help them optimize their delivery.  This "lift and shift" model could well result in customers losing more than they save.  Read more at Think Global.

Why the lay-off culture is far more damaging than offshoring

Ever since President Obama proposed to change the IRS tax code that regulates how US corporations declare income from international activities, I've been thinking about other measures governments can take to slow the recession and help businesses become less myopic with how they navigate these rough waters. 

Reading between the lines, he appears to be targeting a revenue grab, while making political overtones against companies which use offshore resources.  However, he's simply penalizing firms from being more productive with their exports.  Sure, there are issues with tax fraud from havens such as Bermuda or the Caymens, but this is primarily an issue with individuals, not large enterprises. 

Why penalize a US conglomerate for manufacturing diapers in Brazil for the

Globalizing the business is the key to outsourcing today

As we discussed last week, it's clear that many companies will continue to move into outsourced business environments, despite the recession and political pressures to keep work onshore.  While some firms find it hard to make radical decisions in a downturn, others are clearly seeing how critical it is to operate as a global business. 

If there's one thing this recession taught us, it's how integrated global economies and markets are today, how businesses need to adapt to move in and out of diverse regional markets, and how they must make rapid decisions to invest or divest global service / product lines in order to prosper.  Outsourcing doesn't provide all the immediate answers, but it does help create the vehicle for clients to become more nimble and capable at a global level.  Check out our thoughts based on new survey data over at Think Global...

Wipro and Oracle partner to blow-up the BPO delivery model

Folks - I can exclusively reveal to you today that Wipro BPO and Oracle are shortly going to announce a partnership dubbed "simPlify", whereby Wipro will deliver PeopleSoft HR to both mid-market and high-end clients via a hosted utility BPO service, that will cater for 20 major countries.  They will also partner with The Hackett Group as part of the arrangement to provide performance benchmarks for HR processes.

The mid-market play is a true move towards "one-to-many", whereas the enterprise play will be a more customized approach.  Clients will need to invest

Take part in our Budapest debate next week... from your front room

This Tuesday, we're holding a "World Exclusive", with a distinguished panel of Horses-readers being webstreamed live from the 9th Annual European Shared Services and Outsourcing Week in Budapest Hungary.  For those of you unable to make the conference, you will have a chance to take part in the debate via a live blog-cast streamed to a computer near you.  I do hope you can partake in the banter.

*World Exclusive* Horses For Sources - Live From Budapest

Deciphering The Business Value Of Tomorrow’s Sourcing Strategies In Today’s Economic Climate

Exclusive: Outsourcing poised to rebound

I wanted to share a few early snippets from our global sourcing adoption study, which we've been running over the last 2 weeks.  And thanks to Global Services Media, Vinnie Mirchandani, William Mougayar, Jason Busch and Dennis Howlett, who have all contributed in helping us reach close to 700 respondents, of which we had 127 enterprise buyers for IT, supply chain, finance, HR and other BPO services.

Go to Think Global to read more...

Why protectionism is failing

With all the recent fuss in the media and the global sourcing industry about protectionism derailing new engagements, I wanted to set the record straight with some brand new survey data and some views into President Obama's current position, that protectionism is not proving to be as big an impediment behind companies' making outsourcing decisions in the near future as many people have stated.

To this end, I wanted to share some preliminary data from our current survey on global sourcing dynamics that tackles the issues preventing companies from making outsourcing decisions this year:

Contemplating the BPO industry with Infosys' Ritesh Idnani

When he's not tinkering with his fast-cars and rock music, Ritesh Idnani has emerged one of the key guys behind Infosys' prominent rise as a leading BPO provider.  But's it's not been an easy ride...when you get up close, you can start to see some grey hairs creeping in to defy those baby-face looks.  I've known Ritesh for a number of years and thought it ample time for him to share his views on the development of the BPO industry and what holds for the future in these crazy times...

PF: We've been through a tremendous development in the world of BPO over the last decade. What, in your opinion, has worked, and what hasn't?

RI: The emergence of outsourcing is not a new phenomenon. It has been practiced by corporates from the 60’s, but it is only in the last decade or so that corporations have recognized the phenomenon and actively engaging in outsourcing as a lever to reduce the effect of non-core activities contributing to the wrong side of P&L .

The flat of the curve: are we scared of innovation?

Kevin O'Marah, AMR Research's Chief Strategy Officer, blogs a thought-provoking piece that highlights how so many retailers and manufacturers have failed to embrace collaborative supply chain models through fear of "giving more than they'll get".  Kevin argues that consolidation amongst suppliers will accelerate in this environment as major industrials drive cost out of their supply chains by reducing their supplier bases.  He adds,"what we have since seen is that cooperation takes a lot more than just setting up EDI, reverse auctions, or visualization.  It takes trust, which apparently is still in short supply." 

Supplier Management BPO breaks a billion

I wanted to share a few early snippets from our forthcoming market landscape on Supplier Management BPO services, which is due to hit the shelves next month.  The market surpassed a billion dollars in expenditure for the first time last year with a 30% hike in expenditure on new multi-scope BPO contracts.  Find out more over at Think Global...

Kicking off the "Innovation" discussions: Oracle's Roger Turnham

One of the nicest guys in the BPO industry is Oracle's Roger Turnham.  He's been Oracle's brains-behind-the-scenes since BPO was a mere twinkle in Larry's eye four years' ago.  Many of you have been dazzled by Roger's Texan charm as the software giant develops its BPO partner program for service providers.  He also has some very interesting views on innovation strategies that can add significant value to a BPO engagement.  I am going to hone in on the "I" topic over the coming weeks, and asked Roger to kick off the discussions... over you you Mr T:

Innovation: What’s in a Name?

Over the past four years I’ve sat through BPO panel discussions on innovation, I’ve listened to some of the world’s largest BPO customers complain that they can’t get it, while BPO providers claim great success in delivering it. Either somebody’s lying or the word is like evolution: It’s so broad a word that it can mean anything you want it to. To extend the analogy: Evolution is a word that means everything from change over time to the origin of matter, to a cosmic explosion that created everything, to why some of us are big and others blond and – my personal favorite – how goo turned into you. If “innovation” is like evolution, it can mean anything, or everything, or nothing.

So, what is it?

Taking the industry temperature

You can spend hours analyzing how the global sourcing industry got to where it is today, but in today's climate it's more important than ever to reach out to the industry at large to get the real deal on what's going to happen next.  Your voice is crucual, so please spend a few minutes filling out my online survey and I'll share a summary of the findings with you in return.

CLICK HERE TO COMPLETE THE SURVEY

 

SaaS versus BPO: is this where tech-geeks finally interact with services-nerds?

So there was a bit of Phil-bashing going on this week - from SaaS lovers - after my post that discussed some of the potential issues with SaaS delivery versus outsourcing.  I also got several messages of "thanks for nailing this one for us" from services folks.  To clarify my point, I would like to emphasize I am a huge fan of SaaS delivery and strongly believe that SaaS services will enmesh with some areas of BPO to create the genuine business utility models for the future.  BPO provides that level of business-customization for those business processes that are enabled by the SaaS app.  I believe the issues are more about IT folks understanding the basics of business service delivery - and vice-versa.

My concerns with SaaS delivery are how companies govern their business processes that are supported by SaaS application delivery.  It is a serious step

SaaS: Outsourcing out-of-control?

SaaS is effectively the same as outsourcing - you're handing control over business processes to a third-party service provider.  However, while SaaS delivery shares many similarities with outsourcing as a delivery model, there are serious caveats buyers need to consider. Read more over at Think Global.

White water canoeing with Newt Gingrich

I had the pleasure today of having lunch with former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, who is also widely rumored to be a possible Presidential candidate in 2012.

While I do not share many of his political views, Newt does have some nailed-on perspectives on globalization, outsourcing, and some measures the US needs to take to get its act together to remain the world’s economic superpower. Plus, he’s very funny.

Here are some soundbites from his keynote speech at the excellent Sourcing Interests Group conference in Baltimore from earlier today:

"We’re spending trillions to cover up really stupid policies, violating every fundamental principal of economics. These congressional leaders are people who know nothing – our Founding Fathers deeply mistrusted politicians. Bush was wrong for all of 2008. Paulson the worst ever Treasury Secretary, even though Geithner is now rivaling him."

Horses Exclusive: Obama to ban offshore outsourcing

Folks - I can exclusively reveal  - and you heard it here first - that President Obama will shortly be announcing a blanket ban on the offshoring of US jobs.  My government insider tells me that he will take the following measures:

• Any employer seeking to replace US staff with an overseas employee will have to prove it was unable to source a US employee for the role for a period of 90 days, where the position was widely advertised on national media;

• A task-force of leading US-headquartered outsourcing service providers, including IBM, ACS, CSC and HP, will be tasked with assisting US firms with their backsourcing initiatives, their fees being footed by a proposed budget ammendment that is likely to total as much as $50 billion;

• Leading outsourcing service providers which are not US-headquartered, and have more than 50% of their employees based outside of the US, will have their US trading licenses revoked and will have 30 days to wind down their US operations;

• All jobs that have moved offshore within the last 8 years, that are currently being performed for any US-domiciled organization, are to be replicated back to a US location within the next six months.  The US government will reimburse 20% of the reinstated onshore employee's salary to their employer upon completion of their first year of employment;

• CEOs who fail comply with the ruling will face a disciplinary panel headed by Lou Dobbs. 

So the battle is on between the USA's onshore locations.  Who will win out?  Albuquerque, Detroit, Nashville, Jacksonville, El Pazo?  Love to hear your thoughts...

Think before your retain: is IT impeding many companies' survival in this economy?

I had this private debate with a number of peers in other analyst and consulting organizations recently, and wanted to share some of the discussion points with you all here.

In our recent discussion "Think before you fire: The cost of replacing IT talent", we discussed the issues facing  many companies who were too trigger-happy to scale back their IT wage-costs, and ended up spending a lot more in the long-run when replacing the valuable knowledge of their business systems.  At the same time, we see even more firms held back by IT departments that have failed to move with the times - and none more so than mid-market firms that simply cannot afford to employ the best quality IT staff.   And while we can debate the fine points about business processes moving to offshore or fully outsourced models, you sometimes forget how critical IT is to getting things done. 

Outsourced from Africa

I feel like I'm becoming a travel journalist these days, but we're seeing some very interesting locations get themselves onto the global sourcing map.  Enter South Africa and the picturesque coastal hub of Cape Town, which is primed to challenge for UK and European BPO services. Read more over at Think Global....

Global business on a Knife-edge: Bonuses, H-1Bs and Naïve Protectionism

Has the world gone mad? Or is it just the US Senate? One month after Senators Bernie Sanders and Chuck Grassley pushed their amendment through the Senate making it tough for TARP recipients to hire H-1B* or L1 visa holders, we use the same TARP cash to pay retention bonuses to the very people who got us into this mess in the first place. We could create many, many more jobs with that bonus cash than we’d ever had “saved” by blocking a small minority of H1-B applicants.

The original intent of the Sanders/Grassley amendment barred all recipients of TARP funding from hiring any H-1B workers. However, the amendment was

Guatemala: Bananas, Green Tomatoes... and BPO

We've been debating the opportunities for Latin American countries to take on BPO work for a while now, and spending a few days in Guatemala has confirmed - beyond doubt - the potential of the region. 

I had the pleasure of visiting Capgemini's facility, which is quickly ramping up customer-facing F&A work for Coca-Cola Enterprises (which we picked up on here).  I am going to write more about this engagement in due course, but the hybrid nearshore/offshore operating model for Finance and Accounting and Procurement is showing strong signs of being the way forward for the industry.  This is also the case for many global strategic sourcing, supply management and HR BPO engagements. For example, Coca-Cola Enterprises is sourcing neashore work to Capgemini's centers in Guatemala and Krakow, and using its Chennai operation to support these centers with non-customer facing processes. 

Guatemala's population itself is only 13.7m people, with 40% based in urban areas, however, it is the largest Central American hub with strong potential to source activities to neighboring countries, such as El Salvador and Nicaragua (see graph below) to compliment serices and keep costs low.  What impressed me most meeting many operations agents and managers was the easy-to-understand English intonation, the obsession with process, the youthful energy and the discipline. 

Where should outsourcing vendors invest their marketing dollars in this climate?

Being an analyst, you get a broad view of all the entities competing for the same service provider dollar. You also get a good perspective on how service providers can get the best bang for their marketing buck. And being a blogger, you also pick up a strong sense for the effectiveness of media outreach, but I'll save that discussion for another time.

There is no one-stop support shop for vendors to find and attract new clients, and influence the market - they need to gauge where they need to build influence, using both direct tactical measures - i.e. speaking at conferences or advertising, and indirect measures - i.e. influencing influencers or subliminal branding. The current pull-back in discretionary spending from vendor marketing budgets is seriously exposing the bloated array of firms feeding off the vendor marketing-dime, and with a lot less to go round, we're going to see some firms exit the market, some market consolidation, and others simply going out of business. We'll also see some boutiques linger around the industry because their owner has no idea what else to do, and his only costs are living and travel expenses, and maintaining a website.  Desperate times call for desperate behavior and none more so than for many of those entities forging their living selling to IT services and BPO firms.

Time to offshore the law

I've been getting an increasing number of service providers talking up the growth of Legal Process Outsourcing (with the mind-blowing acronym "LPO").  Personally I'm a bigger fan of PPO (Political Process Outsourcing), but it seems like we could have some onshore/offshore complications with that one, so let's talk about LPO. 

Having had a few discussions with clients and service providers in this space, it's clearly an area for major cost-efficiences for businesses.  I've even had one service provider bragging he was making a killing doing liquidation administration offshore.  Bottom-line, several of the fat law firms are already offshoring their own legal support work to low-cost locations, whilst still billing their clients top-whack rates, so smart corporate legal buyers are focusing on engaging with LPOs, as opposed to highly-expensive law firms, for a lot of legal work, while retaining expensive lawyers for critical activies that require deep experience.  And did you know Mahatma Gandhi was a barrister?  I'd use him anyday over Denny Craine :)

I've recently had the pleasure of interacting with the industry's one full-time LPO advisor (if there are others, here's your chance to make yourself known), so I asked him if he can educate us more regarding what LPO's all about.  Step up Matt Sullivan who lived in Pune, India, for two years, where he managed the risk management & regulatory compliance practice for a global IT outsourcing company as part of a 20 year career in services and outsourcing. He now plies his trade at Red Bridge Strategy, where he's teamed up with some very smart and friendly consultants who focus on global sourcing issues. Over to you Matt:

Changes Ahead in Sourcing U.S. Legal Services in 2009

Businesses have traditionally relied on a combination of in-house legal departments and outside law firms for all of their legal work. During the past few years, maturing processes, technologies, and legal-services-delivery-perspectives have created an environment where corporations now have a spectrum of choices from which to source legal services.

Is the call center finally coming back onshore?

We had a great discussion a few weeks' ago regarding the USA's potential to take on more sourcing work, with increasing unemployment and downward wage pressures.  I've made this point a few times now, but BPO is clearly the bigger onshore opportunity than mainstream application services for the US to muscle in on sourcing work.  And where better to start than the call center?

Bottom-line, President Obama should take a leaf out of Margaret Thatcher's book and examine simple effective ways to provide productive and sustainable employment in depressed areas where industry is in a terminable decline.  I never voted for old Maggie, but she did do one very smart thing during her tenure as British PM - she closed down unprofitable coalmines during the 80's recession, and encouraged businesses to set up call centers in depressed British cities.  Now there are over 650,000 call center employees across the UK. 

Source like an Egyptian

My colleague Dana Stiffler had some fun in Egypt this week, as a guest of Egypt’s Information Technology Industry Development Agency (ITIDA).  Check out her observations at Think Global.

Get your finances in order before you outsource?

When I talk with firms about outsourcing, the conversation almost always circles around whether the client should sort out its internal processes before it can consider outsourcing opportunities.  In most cases for large global enterprises, transformation can be carried out concurrently as part on an incremental outsourcing transition.  However, for mid-market firms which may not have the resources, technology or the expertise as larger enterprises, moving too much of its back office too quickly to a third-party can often prove more damaging to the business than any savings generated.  That is not a risk you want to take in a cut-throat economy, where you may not have a chance to recover from poor decisions.

To this end, an old friend of mine, Bill Rieke, shared his experiences with CFOs of mid-market firms trying to drive cost-efficiencies into the financial processes.  Bill is a respected veteran of the BPO industry, having worked on multiple international engagements with Convergys and subsequently Genpact.  He now works independly with firms as an advisor with BPO and process optimization.  Over to you Bill...

In American Heartland, Optimization Finally Brings Hope of Accounting Transformation

Can Cloud transform Outsourcing?

Is the mainframe making a comeback under a fluffy guise?  Join the debate over at sister-blog Think Global. 

Think before you fire: The cost of replacing IT talent

There’s currently a certain sense of déjà-vu within the IT community, as companies look at shaving even more cost out of a function that has been battered since the 2001 dot-com bust. However, when we look at the lessons of the past, you do have to question companies which decide to sharpen their knives once more when they address their IT costs. Companies need to offset the cost of every layoff with the cost of replacing that talent when the economy improves. It is not so much who is left standing, but rather who is in position to grasp the brass ring of prosperity when it returns.

If economic conditions improve in 2010, then the amount of costs saved by releasing an employee may only be $50-100K by the time all the lay-off costs are incurred. How can you put a price on replacing the inherent business knowledge of that staff member when you re-hire a replacement? It may take another year or two to get the replacement up-to-speed, and will not only end up costing you more, but may also impede your executives from accessing critical data in a timely fashion. The overall cost of replacing that staff member could easily be three times the costs saved by laying her off. And these easily-identified direct costs are only the beginning; the costs incurred to your culture and morale can prove even more damaging.

There are lessons to be learned from those who did it right and those who failed to do so during the recession of 2001. The frequently cited observation by George Santayana warrants consideration, “Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” Furloughed IT employees in the RIF of 2001 were often reluctant to return to their previous employer. Having been viewed as expendable, the trust and bond between the two may have become a casualty. Often the company belatedly discovered the employee was not at all expendable.